Thursday, March 31, 2011

Information Overload


In the day & age of "24/7" news flow, a good plan can get clouded by bad media. With slogans of "We report it first" and "Breaking News," everyone wants to glamorize current events and sell advertising space. If this strategy was such a great idea, Al Gore would have been President by winning Florida a few years ago!

Unfortunately, all of this can be hazardous to your wealth!

Don't get caught up in the story de jour. News will ebb & flow on a daily basis. Stocks will have good/bad quarters. And, Wall Street will continue to climb the proverbial 'wall of worry'.

De-clutter your life and reduce news flow via television, radio and newspapers. Anything pertinent to your health/wealth/daily activities will be heard during your morning commute on the radio or discussed around the water cooler.

For many of us, this may be a tough this to change. We're creatures of pattern and tend to fill our day with repetition. However, if you could survive a few days of change, I think you'll find your day is more relaxing and peaceful.

Change can be a good thing!!!

Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Ages & Life Stages

Retirement planning has always centered around age. A 40 year old would often invest "100 minus their age" in equities. This rule of thumb for investing is still practiced today, but is certainly evolving. (In our example, 100-40 = 60% in stocks. The remaining allocation can be disbursed amongst bonds, real estate and alternative investments.)

This is all being challenged as American demographics are changing. Gone are the days where people married in the 20's, bought houses in their 30's (don't forget the white picket fence!) and had 2.1 kids. Recent reports indicate marriages have decreased 3.2% since 2000. Fathers 50+ are more common place. And, the biggest increase (%) in demographic age groups is the 100+ seniors... aka 'Centurion's'.

Just last week, we learned of the passing of 114 year young Eunice Sanborn. She was considered to be the world's oldest person by Guinness Records! No worries... triathlete and Sister Madonna Buder appears to be on her way to 100 and breaking a few records along the way (see above)!

What does this mean for retirement planning? Well, a number of things have changed. I've often penned my thoughts on limited availability of pensions. Individuals now have to provide for their own retirement. Living longer may require you to work longer. If Social Security keeps increasing the age for maximum benefit payments, there's a reason! And, being more aggressive in your investments may be required. Maybe "110 minus your age" should become the norm?

For many Americans already behind in retirement planning, a peddle-to-the-metal approach is often viewed as appropriate. Financial Advisors... like myself... are sometimes deemed to have a direct connection to Wall Street and thus will recognize when to push and when to sit in cash. Unfortunately, a short review of Financial Planning 101 will reveal this type of strategy never works. It involves market timing AND requires flawless executing on when to exit the capital markets and when to get back in. Getting both correct has probably has the same odds of winning Powerball. Basically, they're not in your favor!

A better approach today may be asset Asset Allocation Models or Target Return Funds. Both are tied into your risk tolerance and prospective retirement date. For example, a 2020 fund will offer a diversified portfolio and become more conservative as you approach your date. However, as previously mentioned, this may now be adjustment based on your lifestyle, time frame, career and current savings. A more aggressive investor may choose a 2040 portfolio simply because they plan on working longer, have longevity in their family and simply want to be more growth oriented.

Everyone is different when it comes to investing. Don't get painted into a box, but rather seek the advice of a Financial professional to determine your ideal retirement portfolio.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

The Silent Inflation


Inflation is hazardous to your wealth! Our government is doing it's best to avoid a deflationary scenario - and for good reason - but, the inflation NOT being acknowledged is going to be problematic at some point.

The consumer price index (CPI) continues to lead us astray. If we consider the source, we should question the #'s. The government providing the data is akin to the 'fox in the hen house.' Report the actual # and they are forced to increase both social security and short term borrowing rates. With an exploding budget deficit, I'm confident real #'s won't be reported anytime soon.

The United Nations reported this week food prices are up dramatically from a year earlier. And, they are causing riots in certain parts of the world. Commodity prices increased 30% last year and continue to move higher in early 2011.

Many of us don't remember the 1970's, but history often repeats itself. If we go back in time, we can see the biggest asset winner during the '70's was commodities. Inflationary pressures hurt stocks & bonds, but oil, natural gas, gold, silver, wheat, cotton, etc. all skyrocketed in value during the decade. You can argue we are now in a similar situation.

The reported #'s from Washington continue to hover around 2% per year. This is both misleading and inaccurate. We often hear, 'if we discount food and energy' from the reported CPI due to volatility... if both categories came back to earth in due time, this may be acceptable. However, it's not very likely - nor realistic.

Last week, Sherman Williams announced paint increases of 8%. Kimberly Clark announced a 5% increase on certain paper products and McDonald's announced they will have to pass along higher food prices to consumers in the near future.

The American consumer is certainly capable of handling some price increases. The difficulty arises when prices rise faster than salaries. Many companies are opting to reduce product size and charge the same price. A back door kind of inflation... less stuff, same price. This is why your favorite coffee cake snack is now the size of a quarter!

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Financial Resolutions 2011


Yup, we've been here before! Turn the calendar and everything changes. There's something magical about adding '11 to the date. We all resolve to lose weight, eat better and exercise more. For many of us, we'll follow through on these resolutions. For others, it's simply a thought that fades in a few weeks.

Let's try something new this year... financial resolutions! They're not painful. They don't make you sweat. And, they may actually improve your financial well being over time!

Let's get started:

1. Get your budget in order and STICK to it. As the 'credit card nation', we're good at buying things we can't afford. Unless you can pay off your monthly credit card bills in full with income - hold off on your purchase. As my friend's dad always says... "Make do."


2. Get your FREE credit report and make sure it's accurate. Almost 2/3 of Americans don't check their credit. Don't be one of them. Go to AnnualCreditScore.com and print your free copy.


3. Increase retirement savings! The days of a pension are over for most people. Whether you have a 401k plan or an IRA account, increase your investments this year. Time & growth are your biggest assets.


4. Get some exercise! Not for the reasons you think though. Healthier individuals have lower medical bills and are more productive @ work. Several studies have confirmed this fact. So, get moving! Walk, bike, run, ski, rollerblade, etc.... or go to the gym!!!

Happy New Year!!!