Holiday Book List 2010

Each year, I get a few requests for book recommendations. Sometimes it's with a current theme in mind. Other times, it's simply a good book to read to better understand the financial markets.

Let's face it... with a dwindling supply of companies offering pensions these days, understanding your investments is a key component to your retirement. I'm flattered many people don't want to put the time, effort and energy into learning, so I will always have a job. Thank you! However, I do encourage everyone to learn about the capital markets. What was that commercial from years ago, "An educated consumer is our best customer!" I couldn't agree more.

So that being said, this year, I'm simply going to revert back to my holiday book list from 2009 and add a few more selections. As always, they are business AND non-business.

New additions for 2010 would include:

1. Coming Back Strong - Unleashing the Hidden Power of Adversity - Drew Brees

2. S*it My Dad Says - Justin Halpern

3. Decision Points - George W. Bush

Happy Holidays!!!

Changing Times...

Evolution is a funny thing. It's generally considered good. Indoor plumbing, baseboard heat, automobile and of course the internet are a few great examples. If it wasn't for the latter, I wouldn't be sharing my thoughts with you @ the moment.

But, with everything good, there is often a side effect. Taking cholesterol drugs is great for lowering the bad stuff in your arteries. Unfortunately, you could experience muscle pain as a result. If my cholesterol was around 210, I think I'd skip the medicine altogether and maintain a healthy lifestyle.

Skis, boots and bindings have made huge advancements over the last decade. Broken bones are almost a thing of the past. On the flip side, skiers experience more knee injuries than ever before. Hmmm... broken bone or knee problems? Tough decision.

The real estate boom of the recent past allowed all citizens to 'afford' the American Dream. Barry Ritholtz of "The Big Picture" showed a great google map(s) this week displaying the measle epidemic spreading across our country. The 'hot' spots or cluster of foreclosures shows the devastation in certain regions. We can only speculate how long it will take to fix this problem.

Today's federal deficit news is another warming shot of sorts. Our lifestyle as we know it will be changing at some future date. This week, next month or over the next decade? Not sure. But, we owe a LOT of money. If the government followed the bankruptcy laws that individuals follow, we would have filed chapter 11 a long time ago.

People don't like change, but we've been living the good life on borrowed money for decades. Now that we collectively owe more than $1 trillion... read that again... trillion dollars - it's time to scale back.

What comes next? Higher income taxes, less municipal services, older social security eligibility, higher real estate taxes? Probably all of the above. Oh yea... and less international travel. The dollar will probably continue to lose strength and make travelling abroad too expensive. Sad, but true.

Bob Dylan may have been a prophet of sorts when he stated in his classic 1964 song, "Times They are a Changing"...

And that's the final word from 'doom & gloom' central. I'll try to be more cheerful next time! Promise!!

Rethinking Daily Life

Andy Rooney of 60 Minutes has a great approach to his journalism. It's simple, pure and direct. Everyday items are looked at with his unique perspective.

With this approach in mind, I'd like to examine our daily lives on a few different levels.

A recent trip to Colorado provided a wonderful time to relax & reflect. Visiting my good friend Anthony, we enjoyed the Rocky Mountain altitude, shared a few laughs and went to two football games as well. Go Buffs!

During the weekend, we discussed how his lady friend doesn't have cable tv? Yes, she has a television, but only uses it to watch movies. The more we talked, the more I realized, maybe this isn't such a bad idea! It seems a little contrarian to a certain extent. But, how many times do we simply turn on the tv for background noise or music? We're not watching anything, but filling the quiet void.

Personally, I now watch the majority of my favorite tv shows on my PC (aka: entertainment center) these days on my schedule. "Two and a Half Men" is a great example. Simply go to http://www.cbs.com/ and 'tune in'. You'll have a few spot advertisements, but it's less than you would have if you watched the regularly scheduled program.

Also, I recently noticed my daily routine of gathering morning news had changed. My favorite source is now USA Today - not the print version, but rather the online version. Great layout, content and it's free. I Fire up the PC each morning with a cup of tea and read the Money section. Life is good!

We all have daily routines. Some habits are useful and others are simply... well... habits! They may even be costly ones as well. How many days do you stop @ Starbucks during your morning commute for a mucho expensive grande latte (or something similar)?

Perhaps examining your daily habits could lead to positive changes. It may also improve your financial situation as well!

Moral Dilemma - Where Did We Go Wrong?

What happened to personal responsibility?

Everything from brokerage accounts to mortgages and from Little League to Pop Warner football are in play.

We seem to be building a nation of bad decisions. Some may call it morals, others ethics. Call it what you like, there's something wrong with this trend. People are walking away from personal commitments & responsibilities when things don't go there way.

Parents are letting their children quit their sports program in mid-season. Why? The parent and/or child didn't feel they were getting enough playing time. Correct me if I'm wrong... aren't 9 players a minimum requirement to field a baseball team. Due to injuries, vacations, family obligations, etc. every child is needed plus a few extras. There's a reason it's considered a 'team sport'. Everyone relies upon one another. Here's a novel idea: Let your child finish the entire season and then decide if they want to play next year.

In the grown up version, we can discuss mortgages. Everyone wanted to own real estate in some capacity from 2000-2007. It didn't matter if you were buying a primary residence, flipping properties or rehabbing for profit. People were blinded by dollars and real estate was the "It" investment. The herd mentality was running wild.

Unfortunately, when the music stopped, thousands of 'investors' were left holding properties they couldn't afford. When times were good and everyone was making money, nobody complained. Now that the winds of profit have turned, everyone was quick to point a finger for their financial difficulties. Very rarely did you hear, "I made a bad decision." But, rather "The bank took advantage of me." "I didn't know what I was signing." I'll be the first to admit, the banks weren't angelic in this whole process. But, let's cite the facts. They simply made money available. They didn't contact you! Further, for the individuals who borrowed money, didn't you have an attorney representing you during the entire process? I don't see how the banks are the bad guys in this scenario. When you went to closing, you had the option of signing your mortgage documents or not - with legal counsel present. What am I missing?

Our moral compass has gone astray in recent years. Personally, I tend to think it started with the dot.com era and day trading. A similar scenario unfolded with brokerage accounts and margin requirements.

I'm not sure how we get back on track, but I tend to think our economic recovery is going to have a direct correlation to our moral standards.

The Killer called Inflation

"Inflation is as frightening as a robber and as dangerous as a hit man."

Ronald Reagan - 40th President of the United States

Good retirement planning can be crushed by the unknown... inflation. Recent years have shown benign, if not deflationary figures. However, since 1980, inflation has averaged about 3% per year.

How can this effect your retirement savings? We all know that things will cost more, but here are a few examples assuming annual inflation of 3% per year over 20 years:

• House - Current: $200,000 Future: $364,424
  
• Loaf of bread - Current: $3.00 Future: $4.47
• Car - Current: $30,000 Future: $54,664

Some of these figures may not thoroughly register. But, let's look at things with a retirement angle. You have to try and keep up with the rate of inflation via your investments. Sitting in a conservative account (ie. money market fund) earning 1% per year, is a sure fire way of failing to reach your retirement plan.

You have to outpace the rate of inflation to stay ahead of the curve. A retiree living on a fixed income of $30,000 cannot sustain spikes or long term increases in inflation. Oil & gas drastically increased a few years ago and then retreated. This effected a number of people, not to mention summer vacation plans. Long term increases will permanently decrease purchasing power AND your lifestyle.

Your retirement income can decrease by 50% if inflation averages 4% over 18 years. Retiring at 60 or 62 sounds good on paper, but unless there's an ample amount of pension money, retirement savings, real estate, etc, to last another 20-30 years, you could be selling yourself short.

Longevity and healthy living is an amazing concept... don't be overly cautious with your retirement investments.

George M. Steinbrenner (7/4/1930 - 7/13/2010)

A Yankee doodle dandy! A winner! A tyrant! Call him what you want, George M. Steinbrenner born on July 4, 1939 was a sports legend.

He will forever be remembered as the passionate owner of the New York Yankees.

Call him a visionary. After purchasing the disenchanted franchise in the early 1970's, his unique approach to running a business (exactly what it was) encompassed a worldwide marketing campaign.

Back in the day, television rights only covered a portion of the baseball season. Former player/manager, Gene "Stick" Michael, was recently interviewed on a local sports radio program and discussed an old four (4) game series played in CA against the Oakland Athletics. Having won the two (2) games NOT televised and having lost the two which were on tv, Mr. Steinbrenner called him to let him know, he lost the wrong games!

Today, his YES Network is an industry giant and a national success. Some will even argue the signing of foreign superstar, Hadeki Matsui, made the team a worldwide franchise as Japanese fans flocked to the American game of baseball. PT Barnum had nothing on old George. He was a master at marketing.

Lastly, true to the Steinbrenner business acumen, he died in 2010. Anyone who follows financial planning and in particular estate planning laws will understand, he died in the ONLY year in which federal estate taxes are zero. He family legacy will carry on monetarily as well!

Rest in peace George M. Steinbrenner. And, thank you for the GREAT memories!!!

World Equity Markets 2010

Here are some statistics for world equity markets through July 12, 2010.

(Indexes are based on local currencies. Due to holidays and time zone zones differentials, the most recent close is not necessarily that of July 12, 2010).

Amsterdam (AEX) -3.25%

Athens (General) -30.44%

Bombay (Sensitive) +2.11%

Buenos Aires (Merval) -1.35%

Caracas (General) +19.05%

Copenhagen (OMX20) +20.76%

EuroSTOXX 50 (SXSE) -9.57%

Jakarta (Composite) +16.16%

London (FT-SE-100) -5.17%

Madrid (IBEX35) -15.18%

Moscow RTS -5.50%

Paris CAC -9.70%

Santiago (Selective) +16.74%

Shanghai (Composite) -24.60%

Stockholm (OMXS) +6.90%

Sydney (ASX200) -9.74%

Tokyo (Nikkei 225) -9.11%

Toronto (TSX) - 1.50%

Wellington (NZSE-50) -6.95%

Zurich (Swiss) -5.12%