Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Suspend Mark-to-Market Accounting
Thursday, February 19, 2009
The Power of the Roth IRA
1)Inflationary pressures will increase at some point. You can't flood the market with new dollars and not expect a buying frenzy to occur at some point. Supply and demand will change and higher prices will unfold.
2) The Roth IRA is going to be the retirement vehicle of choice (some investors will also turn to the Roth 401K plan as well). The plethora of money currently being spent by Congress is borrowed from future generations and sooner or later will have to be repaid. Budget cuts & economic reform may recoup a small portion of what is owed, but the vast majority of repayment will come from higher tax rates.
As an investment with 'after tax' dollars, the growth of a Roth IRA is tax free. Not tax deferred, but rather tax FREE. Don't confuse the two. Most retirement plans (401k, 403B, Traditional IRA's and SEP/IRA's), use pretax dollars and offer tax reductions upfront. However, when funds are distributed, the government will tax the proceeds at that time. Depending on future income tax brackets, this could be expensive.
The old school of thought was simple: Defer your income until you retire and then take distributions at a lower marginal tax rate. This will afford less taxes are paid upfront AND less taxes will be paid in retirement as your household income decreases.
This sounds great in theory, but I think the game has changed with the current economic situation. Borrowed dollars are going to dictate higher taxes across the board (tax brackets, capital gains, dividends, etc.). It may not happen this year or next, but higher rates are coming from the current administration. This is where the true value of the Roth IRA will come into play.
Let's look at an example: Pat and Rose both save aggressively for retirement. After investing for a number of years, they both accumulate a cool $1 million. Pat uses her 401k plan to amass this money and Rose uses a Roth IRA account. Once retired, Pat elects to take a one time lump sum distribution of $1 million to travel the world and play tennis. If tax brackets remain where they are today (probably unlikely), Pat will owe about $360,000 (36%) in income taxes and pocket the remaining $640,000. Rose on the other hand elects to cash in her Roth IRA and move to Aruba to look at Dive-Dive trees all day. In her case, she walks away with a cool $1 million as NO income taxes are due.
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
"Rule of 72"
When it comes to investing & savings, the "Rule of 72" is the gold standard. It simply states how long it will take for your money to double at a given rate of interest. The true benefit of this concept is derived from retirement accounts (i.e. Traditional & Roth IRA, 401k, 403B) as opposed to everyday or non-qualified accounts.
Let's look at a few examples:
What the above fails to indicate is with higher returns comes higher volatility (aka 'risk'). Growth mutual funds can have wild fluctuations while CD's offer stability. However, the lower the volatility, the lower your annual returns.
For example, if you start with $10,000 and desire a $20,000 ending balance in 10 years, you're going to have to strive for a 7.2% annualized return. Simply choosing a 2% CD will not get you to your goal. Balancing risk & reward is key.
Recent years have many raising an eyebrow as to the validity of this concept. 2008 was a dismal year for the stock market and essentially erased 5 years of gains. However, averages do play out over time and things will eventually revert back to the mean. If your time horizon is long enough you should see the "Rule of 72" work in your favor.
Friday, February 6, 2009
Bernie Madoff Client List Revealed
The list includes many of the names already revealed in prior news releases, but fails to recognize the thousands of other entities, pensions and charities who were invested with the firm via feeder funds. These often include 'fund of funds' type investments.
Many of these victims, not on the list, were derived via feeder funds such as Chais Investments, Ascot Partners and Fairfield Greenich. All fell prey to the Madoff Ponzi scheme.
Some duplication of client names does exist. It is not known why this occurred, but the complexity of the investment web is certainly confusing. A few new names that surfaced include CNN's Larry King and a trust account of Jeffrey Katzenberg.
Here's the complete client list in .pdf format.
Sunday, February 1, 2009
Best Financial Websites
Financial news & commentary is only a click away. From Internet sites to domestic & international newspapers, magazines and trade journals, you can find virtually anything online these days.
- Bloomberg for news, tv & radio feeds.
- Bankrate.com offers a host of online content.
- Financial calculators are always useful.
- A few financial blogs to note: The Icahn Report, 24/7 WallStreet, Kirk Report & Carl Futia
- Stock markets - Nasdaq, NYSE Euronext , and CBOT
- ETF Information: iShares and Proshares